
The Iran war is "testing the resilience of the global economy," and is set to dampen economic growth this year, the Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) said in a report released on Thursday.
Global growth is forecast to slow to 2.9% this year before edging back up to 3.0% in 2027, according to the OECD.
The unpredictable trajectory of the Middle East conflict was driving up costs and dampening demand, offsetting the positive impetus from investment in new technologies and the momentum carried over from the previous year, it said.
The blockade of the Strait of Hormuz and damage to energy infrastructure had caused a sharp rise in energy prices and disrupted supplies of other key materials such as fertilizer, according to the OECD.
The scale and duration of the conflict were highly uncertain, but a prolonged period of higher energy prices would significantly increase costs for businesses and consumer prices, with negative consequences for growth, the OECD said.
The "evolving conflict [...] generates significant uncertainty around global demand," it said.
In the US, growth is expected to slow from 2.0% this year to 1.7% next year, the OECD forecast, as strong investment in artificial intelligence is gradually offset by a slowdown in income growth and consumer spending.
In the eurozone, the OECD expects growth to slow to 0.8% this year before recovering to 1.2% in 2027, boosted by higher defence spending.
In China, growth is projected to fall to 4.4% in 2026 and 4.3% in 2027.
The conflict was also weighing on the growth of the German economy, which the OECD said would grow by only 0.8% this year - 0.2 percentage points less than forecast in its previous economic outlook in December.
Growth of 1.5% is still expected for 2027, unchanged from the previous forecast.
latest_posts
- 1
Figure out How to Score Huge with Open Record Rewards - 2
St George Mining hits record 178m high-grade intercept at Araxá, reinforcing global scale - 3
6 Shades Brands For Seniors - 4
College students are now slightly less likely to experience severe depression, research shows – but the mental health crisis is far from over - 5
Changing Negative Cash Mentalities: Enabling Your Monetary Excursion
AstraZeneca to invest $2 billion as part of US manufacturing push
37 Things Just Individuals Experiencing childhood during the 80s Will Comprehend
Becoming Familiar with an Unknown dialect: My Language Learning Excursion
It's time for Artemis II to break Apollo 13's distance record. What to know about the moon flyby
Tanzania president remorseful over internet shutdown on election day
2026 will be the year NASA astronauts fly around the moon again — if all goes to plan
Artemis 2 astronauts — now halfway to the moon — report 'burning smell' from toilet, but everything's fine
The Solution to Defeating Tarrying: Systems for Expanded Efficiency
Israel faces widespread condemnation as NGO ban comes into effect













